Can the All Blacks rediscover their winning form during the fall tour?
Pursuing what would be just a fifth tour victory in their illustrious legacy, the New Zealand side have embarked on their tour at an interesting juncture.
Fixtures against Ireland, Scotland, the English squad and the Welsh team await the All Blacks across the next four weekends but, quite aside from the possibility to equal the sides of previous successful tours in the record books, the matches will be used as a yardstick to assess the improvement of the side under a leader now 24 months into from assuming control.
Current Challenges
Questions over a lack of an identifiable style, ongoing discussions over player choices and exits from the coaching ticket have all contributed to the sense that the most recognisable team in the rugby is currently one in a period of transition.
Most importantly, it is the dip in outcomes from a previous peak set between the global tournaments of the last decade that has led some to theorize that we have evolved beyond of the era of New Zealand dominance.
Team Record
Prior to their travel for the European tour, it was announced that during the following season, in the lack of the Rugby Championship, the All Blacks will meet the Springboks in a off-season matches called 'a unique competition'.
Traditionally the rugby's premier teams, there is no question over who has lately dominated of what promoters have labeled 'The Ultimate Contest'.
During the last decade, the Springboks have claimed a couple of World Cups, three Rugby Championships and a tour against the home nations team to be regarded as the team of their period.
The All Blacks have continued to beat Ireland when it counts most, defeating their next challengers in the World Cup quarter finals of recent years. They have, at the same time, been defeated in just two of the past 21 meetings with England, have defeated Wales in each game since 1963 and have remained unbeaten by Scotland.
Shifting Balance
But the diminishment of their standing as the rugby's benchmark will continue to rankle.
While the All Blacks dominated through the last ten years - achieving 87% of their Test matches, as well as winning the Webb Ellis on two occasions - the World Cup of the previous competition can now be seen as when the hierarchical structure moved in the world sport.
New Zealand beat the Springboks in their initial fixture of the competition in the host nation, but it was the South Africans who were finally victorious in Yokohama.
After that event, the All Blacks' victory ratio has dropped to seventy-one percent. The Springboks themselves were defeated in ten of their next 26 Test matches but, since the start of 2023, have won at a percentage (83%) to match even the last great New Zealand team.
Direct Competition
During the comparable duration, the South African team have won the majority of the seven meetings between the sides, comprising triumph in the 2023 World Cup final.
While securing their latest regional title, the Springboks inflicted a record 43-10 defeat on the New Zealand team courtesy of 36 unanswered second-half points in Wellington, a outcome which has ignited another series of discussion regarding the progress of the side under the coach.
Possibly most troubling for supporters of the New Zealand team will be that, alongside their characteristic physicality, South Africa's success has come with an attacking verve more typically linked with their opposition team.
Playing Philosophy
When the All Blacks were at the height of their capabilities in previous eras, they were a clinical transition team able of dismantling opponents from all areas of the pitch and at any moment of the game.
Today, their playing philosophy is unclear as the coach, who has handed out 19 debuts during his recent tenure in charge, tries to initially build the basic core elements of a competitive squad.
It has previously announced that the supporting manager responsible for attack, the current coach, will exit the team after the fall series, making him the second member of the coaching staff to depart after Leon MacDonald departed last year after just five Tests.
Performance Gap
It was not just his winning record, but his methodology, that was expected to carry over from his former team when he assumed control after the global competition but, as yet, each remain a continuous improvement.
Organizational Strategy
Following private equity firm Silver Lake bought a stake in New Zealand rugby in recent years, the ensuing statement mentioned the "search of new global opportunities" for the brand.
That task has maybe been more difficult by the lack of a global icon. The current captain and the trio of Barrett brothers continue to be recognizable personalities in the rugby, but the distribution of talented players has expanded significantly. Their leader is the sole All Black to earn global recognition in the current era, in opposition to 10 in multiple seasons between previous generations.
Worldwide Reach
Rather, attempts have been made to transplant the All Blacks into emerging regions.
The opening phase of this 'Grand Slam' tour brings the All Blacks not to Dublin but Chicago, a return to the location where Ireland secured a first ever victory in the contest in previous seasons.
Following the reduction of pandemic limitations, the All Blacks have furthermore